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leonvr
Group 1 winner
Joined: Wed May 14, 2008 2:50 pm Posts: 2458
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Weather
To make the league more accurate it will be good to use the weather from the last 10 seasons as a basis for the random weather generator.
So for example if
Doncaster / Lincoln meeting 1st week soft good good soft g/f g/s g/s soft good good
good 40% soft 20% g/s 20% and g/f 10% so the random number generator will probably look something like this 5% chance of heavy 14 % chance soft 19 % g/s 37% chance good 10% g/f 4% firm and 1% hard
For a meeting like Dubai all weather will be standard but it will be more likely to be fast or firm etc
Let me know you thoughts and we can get the data for the weather for NH and the flat for the last 10 seasons
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Sat Mar 23, 2013 10:47 pm |
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pjrhodes1970
Group 1 winner
Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 8:48 pm Posts: 15155 Location: Republic of Ireland
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Re: Weather
i agree good idea
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Sun Mar 24, 2013 9:12 am |
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nashwan
Group 2 winner
Joined: Sat Jan 15, 2011 1:45 pm Posts: 951 Location: Thailand
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Re: Weather
Wont we be having a week abandoned due to snow
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Sun Mar 24, 2013 9:50 am |
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leonvr
Group 1 winner
Joined: Wed May 14, 2008 2:50 pm Posts: 2458
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Re: Weather
lol no!!!
But courses like Meydan are highly unlikely to have soft ground for the turf races. And heavy will be almost impossible.
Likewise it will be almost impossible to have hard/fast ground in NH in winter.
As a note the main racing course will be taken as the basis for the weather generator for the week.
Although all non uk race meetings will have their own random percentages.
So for example in the final flat week Australia is more likely to be firm/good and the UK is more likely to be soft
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Sun Mar 24, 2013 10:03 am |
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simpleminds
Group 1 winner
Joined: Mon Jun 27, 2011 5:56 pm Posts: 5667 Location: uk
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Re: Weather
Sounds good to me
_________________simple in mind but wonderful in young lifehttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNzbn9 ... idx5pNkHaQ
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Sun Mar 24, 2013 11:57 am |
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keithbeaky
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 05, 2011 2:47 pm Posts: 2407 Location: UK
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Re: Weather
What a good idea!
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Sun Mar 24, 2013 2:32 pm |
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keithbeaky
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 05, 2011 2:47 pm Posts: 2407 Location: UK
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Re: Weather
leonvr wrote: lol no!!!
But courses like Meydan are highly unlikely to have soft ground for the turf races. And heavy will be almost impossible.
Likewise it will be almost impossible to have hard/fast ground in NH in winter.
As a note the main racing course will be taken as the basis for the weather generator for the week.
Although all non uk race meetings will have their own random percentages.
So for example in the final flat week Australia is more likely to be firm/good and the UK is more likely to be soft Heavy should be 0% for Meydan as should hard for the NH. I know its only 1% but it is actually 0%?
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Sun Mar 24, 2013 3:25 pm |
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leonvr
Group 1 winner
Joined: Wed May 14, 2008 2:50 pm Posts: 2458
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Re: Weather
i was thinking more along the lines of 0.01% but happy with no chance if everyone else is. In reality we all know it will not ever be heavy ground in meydan and there won't be fast ground for NH in winter
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Sun Mar 24, 2013 5:20 pm |
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