Win will work too
My handicapping is good lately
| Strategic Designs Ltd., forums http://www.startersorders.com/phpBB2/ |
|
| Kentucky Derby 2015 http://www.startersorders.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=10656 |
Page 4 of 5 |
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Fri May 01, 2015 7:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
Race 8 at Churchill Downs coming up in about 15 minutes - The Alysheba Stakes. Neck 'n Neck looks good to me here. Racing back to shape after a lengthy layoff in 2014 he has 4 wins in 6 starts at Churchill Downs. |
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Fri May 01, 2015 9:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
Race 10 the Eight Belles Stakes - Don't think I have ever seen a race with so many super fast front runners in it before. Only one seems to have the ability to consistently come from off the lead - Promise Me Silver. She seems a cinch in this spot |
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sat May 02, 2015 1:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
In the early win betting for the Derby there is one horse being bet heavily - Frosted. Some play on longshots Danzig Moon and Keen Ice too. Materiality, Bolo and Far Right are ice cold in the betting. Upstart isn't being bet at all. The rest of the horses are at what they should be. In the Oaks/Derby Double payoffs Frosted,Mubtaahij and Keen Ice are getting big action. Frosted and Mubtaahij especially. Materiality and Upstart aren't getting any action in the double. |
|
| Author: | mjtags11 [ Sat May 02, 2015 1:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
My Derby Pick: Mubtaahij -I just think that he is in the right spot, adjusting well to Churchill Downs, has one of the best trainers in the world who knows how to win in pretty much every country, and he wants to go this distance (and longer). Mubtaahij could run all day and should be able to beat this field which, while I think is very deep, is weak compared to past fields. There are more contenders in this race who actually have a chance to win than in past years, but aren't as strong or stand outs as other 3-year old crops. Projected Order of Finish: 1- Mubtaahij 2- Firing Line 3- American Pharoah 4- Frosted 5- Keen Ice 6- Danzig Moon 7- Dortmund 8- Bolo 9- Upstart 10- Carpe Diem 11- Frammento 12- Tencendur 13- Mr. Z 14- Far Right 15- War Story 16- Materiality 17- International Star 18- Ocho Ocho Ocho 19- Itsaknockout My Tickets: -$10 Across on Mubtaahij -$10 Across on Firing Line -$5 Exacta Box 6-10-18 -$0.50 Trifecta Wheel 6,8,10,15,18 w/ 5,6,8,10,15,18,19 w/ 5,12,14,15,21 -$1 Superfecta 6,10,18 with 6,8,10,14,18 with 5,14,15 with 14,20,21 I think this is going to be a great race and good luck to everyone in their picks! |
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sat May 02, 2015 7:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
10 minutes out to the Churchill Downs Distaff Turf Mile - Let's take a longshot here. Tepin came back this year with a nice allowance win. What I like about her was last year she was choking in the stretch in most races and her return this year she had a nice rally and won good. Place and show hope. |
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sat May 02, 2015 8:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
Win will work too My handicapping is good lately
|
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sat May 02, 2015 8:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
Churchill Downs Stakes - Short field not a very good betting race. All speed with one who can rally - Pants On Fire. I'll take him. Go against Bayern at your own risk. |
|
| Author: | ghostzapper74 [ Sat May 02, 2015 8:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
ATR said it was watching the derby- Lying u know what 
|
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sat May 02, 2015 9:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
The Woodford Reserve - If the last turf race is any indicator; speed is needed. Chocolate Ride is all the speed in a race void of speed. He will be hard to catch but I will take one who has the ability to rate somewhat close - Slumber. 7yo ran a huge race last out off the layoff. I love older horses at the top of their game. |
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sat May 02, 2015 9:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
Well the speed in the Woodford came from some unlikely horses. Strangely run race. |
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sat May 02, 2015 11:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
A truly run race. American Pharoah was asked for everything to win and did it. Can't see him having anything left in the tank for the Preakness and no way he gets the Belmont distance. Frosted ran very well and very wide but was beaten by better horses. Firing Line is the real deal. |
|
| Author: | ghostzapper74 [ Sun May 03, 2015 12:02 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
Yes The Pharoah( if only I had the 16-1) won but it was a bit of a struggle, the time was poor though. They should have run much faster of that average pace. I thought Frosted ran well considering the race was not run to suit and the hold up horses were at a major disadvantage. I just hope shared belief comes back from injury so we can have a great season, so far he's in front of The Pharoah in my eyes. But I love them both. |
|
| Author: | ghostzapper74 [ Sun May 03, 2015 12:07 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
SiriusChill wrote: A truly run race. American Pharoah was asked for everything to win and did it. Can't see him having anything left in the tank for the Preakness and no way he gets the Belmont distance. Frosted ran very well and very wide but was beaten by better horses. Firing Line is the real deal. I don't think he was at his best, he was the first one of the bridle. I think he will win more easily at the Preakness, remember he was out later than every other horse so he should have more in the tank. He had the worst draw and was wide all the way. |
|
| Author: | SiriusChill [ Sun May 03, 2015 12:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
More reasons to not bet him in the Preakness. He spent every last ounce of energy winning the Derby. I won't touch him. If there is a hot pace I'll take Frosted again. |
|
| Author: | ghostzapper74 [ Sun May 03, 2015 12:30 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Kentucky Derby 2015 |
SiriusChill wrote: More reasons to not bet him in the Preakness. He spent every last ounce of energy winning the Derby. I won't touch him. If there is a hot pace I'll take Frosted again. I think he bounced after the last race and all the traveling he's done in the past 6 weeks but I will reserve judgement until I see the fractions of the race. |
|
| Page 4 of 5 | All times are UTC [ DST ] |
| Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/ |
|