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 US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest 
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Derby - Mohaymen will have the racing community abuzz after this race. Nyquist easily the best of rest. Has a terrible dosage number for a mile and an eighth.

Gulfstream Park Oaks - Mo' Green improved dramatically second out. Off The Tracks the one to beat.

Spiral Stakes - Kasseopia just needs to break well and should wear down these. Azar has a terrible post but should be feared.

Bourbonette - Dorodansa has a sneaky pattern. She should fire today. Inconclusive to pick up second.

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Last edited by SiriusChill on Sat Apr 02, 2016 3:31 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Apr 02, 2016 3:21 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Derby: Just seems to be a match race between Mohaymen and Nyquist. And while I would love to drop a bomb here... I can't find one.
---Top Pick: Mohaymen
---Alternate: Nyquist

Gulfstream Park Oaks: There is a lot of speed in this race, and could be a race record. Gomo and Off the Tracks are the two best, but Off the Tracks has never raced in a route race and Gomo is off of a long layoff. Mo' Green knows how to race at distance and is going to sit just off the pace for hopefully Mo' Money.
---Top Pick: Mo' Green
---Alternate: Gomo

Spiral: A personal favorite race, the Spiral has been my main focus. Not too strong of a field and with many of the better class horses drawing wide, a price should be where to go. Turfway is a very rail favoring track and I'll go with Don't Be So Salty, who is undefeated on the synthetic.
---Top Pick: Don't Be So Salty
---Alternate: Airoforce

Bourbonette Oaks: Interesting race. Very tough to pick a standout here and just like the Spiral, could be tuned up for a price. But I'll shy away from that notion and go with the class, Dorodansa. Has been improving and McPeek knows how to train them on the synthetic.
---Top Pick: Dorodansa
---Alternate: Miss Meteor

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Sat Apr 02, 2016 3:30 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Oaks- Go Maggie Go

Florida Derby Mohaymen

Spiral - Airoforce

Bourbonette - Wonderment


Sat Apr 02, 2016 7:50 pm
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Oaks- Go Maggie Go

Florida Derby Nyquist

Spiral - Airoforce

Bourbonette - Inconclusive


Sat Apr 02, 2016 9:48 pm
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
sorry guys not involved in this basicly coz i dont understand it really :lol: but Nyquist was
mighty impressive last night KD 2016 Winner right there serious form line

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Sun Apr 03, 2016 6:28 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
I will be taking on Nyquist in the derby, he's unbeaten but still the times are saying he's average. The three year old maiden run early on was run as fast as this years florida derby. This years three year old colts look bog average. I hate this points system they have now because 3yo fillies cant run in the derby any more, Songbird would whack them and Cathryn Sophia would give them a run.

Go Maggie Go did ghostzapper proud last night, she looked really good in her maiden win and she proved she could step up in class. Problem is she might meet Songbird in the Oaks.


Sun Apr 03, 2016 9:15 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Well Mohaymen was a bust. Looking at his DRF PP's a little closer earlier today I see signs of possible chinks in his armor. His Beyer's aren't what they should be progression wise and he has some dubious trip notes in his previous races - Drifted/Drifted/Bumped. I would not be surprised if there are some issues going on with him. Nyquist ran lights out - like he was geared to win this race at all costs. He also is not running Beyers to what I expect of him. I suggest the farther he goes the more vulnerable he becomes. His dosage number is that of a sprinter. Gulfstream's biased track helped him too.

The standings after week 5...

Ghostzapper - 75
mjtags - 50
PeterS94 - 35
SiriusChill - 21
Simpleminds - 10


Ghost takes the lead with the help of the bonus of two $10+ winners. Peter joins in with a nice start.

Peter you posted your choices and hour or more after the first race went off. I will let it slide because I seriously doubt you had nefarious intentions.

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Tue Apr 05, 2016 12:24 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Bluah I've come to suck your blood...

with free past performances of Friday's Transylvania Stakes from Keeneland. The next race in the contest.

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/FreeRace.do?trackId=KEE&country=USA&raceDate=20160408&dayEvening=D&raceNumber=9#past-performance-race/9

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Tue Apr 05, 2016 12:32 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
SiriusChill wrote:
Well Mohaymen was a bust. Looking at his DRF PP's a little closer earlier today I see signs of possible chinks in his armor. His Beyer's aren't what they should be progression wise and he has some dubious trip notes in his previous races - Drifted/Drifted/Bumped. I would not be surprised if there are some issues going on with him. Nyquist ran lights out - like he was geared to win this race at all costs. He also is not running Beyers to what I expect of him. I suggest the farther he goes the more vulnerable he becomes. His dosage number is that of a sprinter. Gulfstream's biased track helped him too.

The standings after week 5...

Ghostzapper - 75
mjtags - 50
PeterS94 - 35
SiriusChill - 21
Simpleminds - 10


Ghost takes the lead with the help of the bonus of two $10+ winners. Peter joins in with a nice start.

Peter you posted your choices and hour or more after the first race went off. I will let it slide because I seriously doubt you had nefarious intentions.


Total mistake, I'm not a massive follower of american racing but saw two horses i'd heard of so put them in then just copied the other two not knowing that the race had already been ran.


Tue Apr 05, 2016 10:04 pm
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Free Past Performances for the Gazelle, Bay Shore and Wood Memorial can be found here (Look for horses Mo D'amour, Awesome Gent and Outwork) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatc ... mmary.html

Free Past Performances for the Ashland and Blue Grass Stakes can be found here (Look for horses Rachel's Valentina and Zulu) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatc ... mmary.html

Free Past Performances for the Fantasy Stakes can be found here (Look for the horse Florida Bird) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatc ... mmary.html

Free Past Performances for the Providencia can be found here (Look for horse Jeremy's Legacy) - http://www.tlore.net/trainers/oneill/public/brisnet.cfm

Free Past Performances for the Santa Anita Oaks can be found here (Look for horse Jade Princess) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/Baffert/BAFFERT+BOB/9999/summary.htm

Free Past Performances for the Santa Anita Derby can be found here - http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/FreeRace.do?trackId=SA&country=USA&raceDate=20160409&dayEvening=D&raceNumber=8#past-performance-race/8

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Thu Apr 07, 2016 2:57 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Transylvania:
-Top Pick: Converge
-Alternate: Urban Bourbon

Wood Memorial:
-Top Pick: Matt King Coal
-Alternate: Shagaf

Gazelle:
-Top Pick: Behrnik's Bank
-Alternate: Lewis Bay

Bay Shore:
-Top Pick: Awesome Speed
-Alternate: Cocked and Loaded

Ashland:
-Top Pick: Cathryn Sophia
-Alternate: Rachel's Valentina

Blue Grass:
-Top Pick: Cherry Wine
-Alternate: Donegal Moon

Fantasy:
-Top Pick: Wavell Avenue
-Alternate: Dancing House

Santa Anita Derby:
-Top Pick: Danzing Candy
-Alternate: Mor Spirit

Santa Anita Oaks:
-Top Pick: Songbird
-Alternate: Forever Darling

Providencia:
-Top Pick: Mirage
-Alternate: Lady Valeur

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Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:46 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
The Transylvania Stakes - Beyer Speed figure wise Catapult towers over these. Chad Brown skips allowance races and goes right into a graded stakes. Looks good to me. He will have to catch the expected lone speed of Shakhimat who should be very tough on the front end.

Catapult
Shakhimat - alternate

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Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:49 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Wood Memorial - 1. Shagaf 2. Outwork

Santa Anita Oaks - 1. Songbird 2. Jades Forever

Santa Anita Derby - 1. Danzing Candy 2. Mor Spirit

Ashland Stakes - 1. Cathryn Sophia 2. Rachel's Valentina

Blue Grass - 1. Zulu 2. Brodys Cause

Fantasy - 1. Warell Avenue 2. Cavorting

Transylvania - 1. Converge 2. Urban Bourbon

Gazelle - 1. Behrnik's Bank 2. Lewis Bay

Providencia - 1. Mirage 2. Lady Valeur


Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:58 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Wood Memorial - Aqueduct Shagaf
Gazelle - Aqueduct Behrnik's Bank
Bay Shore - Aqueduct Unified
Ashland - Keeneland Cathryn Sophia
Blue Grass - Keeneland Zulu
Fantasy - Oaklawn Park Terra Promessa
Santa Anita Derby - Santa Anita Mor Spirit
Santa Anita Oaks - Santa Anita Songbird
Providencia - Santa Anita Lady Valeur

Today could be a great day for Philadelphia breds.


Sat Apr 09, 2016 11:12 am
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Post Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Whoa I almost forgot my picks. Hope I'm not past posting here - in my own contest...

Wood Memorial Stakes - Tale of S'avall/Flexibility
Gazelle Stakes - Dreams to Reality/Clair de Lune
Bay Shore Stakes - Awesome Gent/Awesome Speed
Ashland Stakes - Cathryn Sophia/Rachel's Valentina
Blue Grass Stakes - Brody's Cause/My Man Sam
Fantasy Stakes - Taxable/Terra Promessa
Santa Anita Derby - Exaggerator/Danzing Candy
Santa Anita Oaks - Songbird/She's a Warrior
Providencia Stakes - Lady Valeur/Sheeza Milky Way

Good luck all. Ghostzapper - I heard the connections of Songbird asked the track officials for permission to keep racing Songbird after the finish line. If Cathryn Sophia wins today the Kentucky Oaks is going to be a doozy.

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Sat Apr 09, 2016 7:36 pm
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