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SiriusChill
Group 1 winner
Joined: Tue May 01, 2012 6:57 am Posts: 2867
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Derby - Mohaymen will have the racing community abuzz after this race. Nyquist easily the best of rest. Has a terrible dosage number for a mile and an eighth.
Gulfstream Park Oaks - Mo' Green improved dramatically second out. Off The Tracks the one to beat.
Spiral Stakes - Kasseopia just needs to break well and should wear down these. Azar has a terrible post but should be feared.
Bourbonette - Dorodansa has a sneaky pattern. She should fire today. Inconclusive to pick up second.
_________________https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClB2FZ7Qvwq0Ons_6jN1lAQ - Watch The Cats! 24-7 Webcam Of Non-Profit Cat Rescue
Last edited by SiriusChill on Sat Apr 02, 2016 3:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Apr 02, 2016 3:21 am |
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mjtags11
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2012 8:40 pm Posts: 1631 Location: Pennsylvania, USA
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Derby: Just seems to be a match race between Mohaymen and Nyquist. And while I would love to drop a bomb here... I can't find one. ---Top Pick: Mohaymen ---Alternate: Nyquist
Gulfstream Park Oaks: There is a lot of speed in this race, and could be a race record. Gomo and Off the Tracks are the two best, but Off the Tracks has never raced in a route race and Gomo is off of a long layoff. Mo' Green knows how to race at distance and is going to sit just off the pace for hopefully Mo' Money. ---Top Pick: Mo' Green ---Alternate: Gomo
Spiral: A personal favorite race, the Spiral has been my main focus. Not too strong of a field and with many of the better class horses drawing wide, a price should be where to go. Turfway is a very rail favoring track and I'll go with Don't Be So Salty, who is undefeated on the synthetic. ---Top Pick: Don't Be So Salty ---Alternate: Airoforce
Bourbonette Oaks: Interesting race. Very tough to pick a standout here and just like the Spiral, could be tuned up for a price. But I'll shy away from that notion and go with the class, Dorodansa. Has been improving and McPeek knows how to train them on the synthetic. ---Top Pick: Dorodansa ---Alternate: Miss Meteor
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Sat Apr 02, 2016 3:30 am |
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ghostzapper74
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:03 am Posts: 4105 Location: Wales
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Oaks- Go Maggie Go
Florida Derby Mohaymen
Spiral - Airoforce
Bourbonette - Wonderment
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Sat Apr 02, 2016 7:50 pm |
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PeterS94
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Oct 06, 2014 10:11 pm Posts: 891
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Florida Oaks- Go Maggie Go
Florida Derby Nyquist
Spiral - Airoforce
Bourbonette - Inconclusive
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Sat Apr 02, 2016 9:48 pm |
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pjrhodes1970
Group 1 winner
Joined: Thu May 15, 2008 8:48 pm Posts: 15153 Location: Republic of Ireland
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
sorry guys not involved in this basicly coz i dont understand it really but Nyquist was mighty impressive last night KD 2016 Winner right there serious form line
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Sun Apr 03, 2016 6:28 am |
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ghostzapper74
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:03 am Posts: 4105 Location: Wales
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
I will be taking on Nyquist in the derby, he's unbeaten but still the times are saying he's average. The three year old maiden run early on was run as fast as this years florida derby. This years three year old colts look bog average. I hate this points system they have now because 3yo fillies cant run in the derby any more, Songbird would whack them and Cathryn Sophia would give them a run.
Go Maggie Go did ghostzapper proud last night, she looked really good in her maiden win and she proved she could step up in class. Problem is she might meet Songbird in the Oaks.
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Sun Apr 03, 2016 9:15 am |
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SiriusChill
Group 1 winner
Joined: Tue May 01, 2012 6:57 am Posts: 2867
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Well Mohaymen was a bust. Looking at his DRF PP's a little closer earlier today I see signs of possible chinks in his armor. His Beyer's aren't what they should be progression wise and he has some dubious trip notes in his previous races - Drifted/Drifted/Bumped. I would not be surprised if there are some issues going on with him. Nyquist ran lights out - like he was geared to win this race at all costs. He also is not running Beyers to what I expect of him. I suggest the farther he goes the more vulnerable he becomes. His dosage number is that of a sprinter. Gulfstream's biased track helped him too.
The standings after week 5...
Ghostzapper - 75 mjtags - 50 PeterS94 - 35 SiriusChill - 21 Simpleminds - 10
Ghost takes the lead with the help of the bonus of two $10+ winners. Peter joins in with a nice start.
Peter you posted your choices and hour or more after the first race went off. I will let it slide because I seriously doubt you had nefarious intentions.
_________________https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClB2FZ7Qvwq0Ons_6jN1lAQ - Watch The Cats! 24-7 Webcam Of Non-Profit Cat Rescue
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Tue Apr 05, 2016 12:24 am |
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SiriusChill
Group 1 winner
Joined: Tue May 01, 2012 6:57 am Posts: 2867
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Bluah I've come to suck your blood... with free past performances of Friday's Transylvania Stakes from Keeneland. The next race in the contest. http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/FreeRace.do?trackId=KEE&country=USA&raceDate=20160408&dayEvening=D&raceNumber=9#past-performance-race/9
_________________https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClB2FZ7Qvwq0Ons_6jN1lAQ - Watch The Cats! 24-7 Webcam Of Non-Profit Cat Rescue
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Tue Apr 05, 2016 12:32 am |
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PeterS94
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Oct 06, 2014 10:11 pm Posts: 891
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
SiriusChill wrote: Well Mohaymen was a bust. Looking at his DRF PP's a little closer earlier today I see signs of possible chinks in his armor. His Beyer's aren't what they should be progression wise and he has some dubious trip notes in his previous races - Drifted/Drifted/Bumped. I would not be surprised if there are some issues going on with him. Nyquist ran lights out - like he was geared to win this race at all costs. He also is not running Beyers to what I expect of him. I suggest the farther he goes the more vulnerable he becomes. His dosage number is that of a sprinter. Gulfstream's biased track helped him too.
The standings after week 5...
Ghostzapper - 75 mjtags - 50 PeterS94 - 35 SiriusChill - 21 Simpleminds - 10
Ghost takes the lead with the help of the bonus of two $10+ winners. Peter joins in with a nice start.
Peter you posted your choices and hour or more after the first race went off. I will let it slide because I seriously doubt you had nefarious intentions. Total mistake, I'm not a massive follower of american racing but saw two horses i'd heard of so put them in then just copied the other two not knowing that the race had already been ran.
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Tue Apr 05, 2016 10:04 pm |
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SiriusChill
Group 1 winner
Joined: Tue May 01, 2012 6:57 am Posts: 2867
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Free Past Performances for the Gazelle, Bay Shore and Wood Memorial can be found here (Look for horses Mo D'amour, Awesome Gent and Outwork) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatc ... mmary.htmlFree Past Performances for the Ashland and Blue Grass Stakes can be found here (Look for horses Rachel's Valentina and Zulu) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatc ... mmary.htmlFree Past Performances for the Fantasy Stakes can be found here (Look for the horse Florida Bird) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatc ... mmary.htmlFree Past Performances for the Providencia can be found here (Look for horse Jeremy's Legacy) - http://www.tlore.net/trainers/oneill/public/brisnet.cfmFree Past Performances for the Santa Anita Oaks can be found here (Look for horse Jade Princess) - http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/Baffert/BAFFERT+BOB/9999/summary.htmFree Past Performances for the Santa Anita Derby can be found here - http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/FreeRace.do?trackId=SA&country=USA&raceDate=20160409&dayEvening=D&raceNumber=8#past-performance-race/8
_________________https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClB2FZ7Qvwq0Ons_6jN1lAQ - Watch The Cats! 24-7 Webcam Of Non-Profit Cat Rescue
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Thu Apr 07, 2016 2:57 am |
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mjtags11
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2012 8:40 pm Posts: 1631 Location: Pennsylvania, USA
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Transylvania: -Top Pick: Converge -Alternate: Urban Bourbon
Wood Memorial: -Top Pick: Matt King Coal -Alternate: Shagaf
Gazelle: -Top Pick: Behrnik's Bank -Alternate: Lewis Bay
Bay Shore: -Top Pick: Awesome Speed -Alternate: Cocked and Loaded
Ashland: -Top Pick: Cathryn Sophia -Alternate: Rachel's Valentina
Blue Grass: -Top Pick: Cherry Wine -Alternate: Donegal Moon
Fantasy: -Top Pick: Wavell Avenue -Alternate: Dancing House
Santa Anita Derby: -Top Pick: Danzing Candy -Alternate: Mor Spirit
Santa Anita Oaks: -Top Pick: Songbird -Alternate: Forever Darling
Providencia: -Top Pick: Mirage -Alternate: Lady Valeur
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Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:46 am |
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SiriusChill
Group 1 winner
Joined: Tue May 01, 2012 6:57 am Posts: 2867
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
The Transylvania Stakes - Beyer Speed figure wise Catapult towers over these. Chad Brown skips allowance races and goes right into a graded stakes. Looks good to me. He will have to catch the expected lone speed of Shakhimat who should be very tough on the front end.
Catapult Shakhimat - alternate
_________________https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClB2FZ7Qvwq0Ons_6jN1lAQ - Watch The Cats! 24-7 Webcam Of Non-Profit Cat Rescue
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Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:49 am |
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PeterS94
Group 2 winner
Joined: Mon Oct 06, 2014 10:11 pm Posts: 891
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Wood Memorial - 1. Shagaf 2. Outwork
Santa Anita Oaks - 1. Songbird 2. Jades Forever
Santa Anita Derby - 1. Danzing Candy 2. Mor Spirit
Ashland Stakes - 1. Cathryn Sophia 2. Rachel's Valentina
Blue Grass - 1. Zulu 2. Brodys Cause
Fantasy - 1. Warell Avenue 2. Cavorting
Transylvania - 1. Converge 2. Urban Bourbon
Gazelle - 1. Behrnik's Bank 2. Lewis Bay
Providencia - 1. Mirage 2. Lady Valeur
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Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:58 am |
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ghostzapper74
Group 1 winner
Joined: Sun Jun 24, 2012 11:03 am Posts: 4105 Location: Wales
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Wood Memorial - Aqueduct Shagaf Gazelle - Aqueduct Behrnik's Bank Bay Shore - Aqueduct Unified Ashland - Keeneland Cathryn Sophia Blue Grass - Keeneland Zulu Fantasy - Oaklawn Park Terra Promessa Santa Anita Derby - Santa Anita Mor Spirit Santa Anita Oaks - Santa Anita Songbird Providencia - Santa Anita Lady Valeur
Today could be a great day for Philadelphia breds.
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Sat Apr 09, 2016 11:12 am |
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SiriusChill
Group 1 winner
Joined: Tue May 01, 2012 6:57 am Posts: 2867
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Re: US Triple Crown Trail Handicapping Contest
Whoa I almost forgot my picks. Hope I'm not past posting here - in my own contest...
Wood Memorial Stakes - Tale of S'avall/Flexibility Gazelle Stakes - Dreams to Reality/Clair de Lune Bay Shore Stakes - Awesome Gent/Awesome Speed Ashland Stakes - Cathryn Sophia/Rachel's Valentina Blue Grass Stakes - Brody's Cause/My Man Sam Fantasy Stakes - Taxable/Terra Promessa Santa Anita Derby - Exaggerator/Danzing Candy Santa Anita Oaks - Songbird/She's a Warrior Providencia Stakes - Lady Valeur/Sheeza Milky Way
Good luck all. Ghostzapper - I heard the connections of Songbird asked the track officials for permission to keep racing Songbird after the finish line. If Cathryn Sophia wins today the Kentucky Oaks is going to be a doozy.
_________________https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClB2FZ7Qvwq0Ons_6jN1lAQ - Watch The Cats! 24-7 Webcam Of Non-Profit Cat Rescue
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Sat Apr 09, 2016 7:36 pm |
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