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Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview https://www.startersorders.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=21473 |
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Author: | Munas23 [ Fri Jun 27, 2025 10:17 pm ] |
Post subject: | Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview Season 17 | Group 1 | 1m | Fillies | Good to Soft Ground | £100,000 Race Overview The Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas is a prestigious Group 1 contest for 3-year-old fillies over 1 mile at Curragh. This season's renewal has attracted a competitive field of 12 runners, with several having shown promising form in their recent outings. The Main Contenders CELESTIAL - TOP RATED Trainer: Joshua Sutherland | Rating: 117 | Silks: Red/Black • Form Analysis: Trainer notes suggest she's in excellent form but may not appreciate the softer ground conditions • Key Point: Highest-rated runner in the field • Verdict: Class act but ground concerns make her vulnerable POWDERKEG Trainer: David Robertson | Rating: 115 | Silks: Blue/White • Form Analysis: Prominent early in the Qipco 1,000 Guineas, led inside final furlong before being driven out • Recent Performance: Showed good battling qualities when challenged • Verdict: Strong each-way claims based on Guineas form ISLAND DANCE Trainer: Jim Murray | Rating: 112 | Silks: Black • Form Analysis: Broke well but lost place early in recent Group 1 company • Trainer's Comment: "Poor race in UK Guineas, hoping for better here" • Verdict: Capable of bouncing back on home soil SENSATIONAL OTTO Trainer: Vinny Gerrard | Rating: 110 | Silks: Green • Form Analysis: Settled early, stayed on well in midfield finish • Trainer's Comment: "Close in the English Guineas, expecting a decent showing again" • Verdict: Consistent performer with each-way appeal VENEDA EVE Trainer: Darren Thompson | Rating: 107 | Silks: Red • Form Analysis: Started slowly but showed good pace when getting going • Recent Form: Outpaced in closing stages but kept on • Verdict: Needs to improve on recent Guineas effort NORTH CAROLINA Trainer: Dan Hughes | Rating: 100 | Silks: Blue • Form Analysis: Raced mid-division, stayed on same pace throughout • Recent Performance: Showed some promise without threatening • Verdict: Outsider with place claims at best The Outsiders LATANAZUL DARING (AJ Munas | 98) - Settled early, soon weakened in recent Group 1 contest RED ADDITION (Paul Parsons | 90) - Slowly away, recovered to show prominent form. Ground preference may be against her COZELIA BALLET (Derek Hinton | 89) - Restrained early, stayed on at one pace MAMA MIA (Jaei Bermenstein | 89) - Front rank early, outpaced and lost ground NORTH JORDAN (Darren Thompson | 87) - Steadied early, never competitive in recent run PROTECTORATE MAISON (AJ Munas | 77) - Steadied early, faded when challenged |
Author: | Munas23 [ Fri Jun 27, 2025 10:18 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
Key Trends & Insights Ground Conditions • Current going: Good to Soft • Several runners have shown preference for firmer conditions • Red Addition specifically noted as preferring "Firmish" ground Recent Form • Most runners competed in either the Qipco 1,000 Guineas or other Group 1 contests • Powderkeg showed the best recent form with a strong finish in the Qipco • Celestial remains unexposed on this ground despite high rating Trainer Confidence • Joshua Sutherland (Celestial) expressing ground concerns • Vinny Gerrard (Sensational Otto) optimistic about chances • Jim Murray (Island Dance) looking for improvement on home soil Betting Verdict WIN BET: POWDERKEG Strong recent form in the Qipco 1,000 Guineas and proven at the trip. Handles the ground and has the tactical speed to be competitive. EACH-WAY VALUE: SENSATIONAL OTTO Consistent performer who ran well in the English Guineas. Trainer confidence is encouraging and the rating suggests she's capable of hitting the frame. OUTSIDER: ISLAND DANCE Jim Murray's filly disappointed in the UK but may find the Irish venue more to her liking. The trainer's comments suggest she's better than her last run. Final Thoughts This looks a competitive renewal with CELESTIAL the one to beat on paper, but ground concerns make her vulnerable. POWDERKEG appears the most reliable option having shown her form in similar company recently, while SENSATIONAL OTTO offers each-way value with trainer confidence behind her. The race should be run at a good pace with several hold-up horses likely to finish strongly. The ground conditions will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. Good luck with your selections! |
Author: | Munas23 [ Fri Jun 27, 2025 10:20 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
bored yesterday, and didn't want to work, so i put a race through claude.ai to make a race preview for us. I'll do the Preakness too. If people like it i'm happy to do a few each week. I'd need help with which NH race/s to do. I didnt read over the preview that well, so don't shot the messager ![]() ps it also loved changing the colours haha |
Author: | ghosty [ Fri Jun 27, 2025 10:32 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
Great read, love some previews. |
Author: | Munas23 [ Fri Jun 27, 2025 10:44 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
if people like them, i'll set them up to be the same each week, and sort out the crazy colour style |
Author: | Githyanki [ Mon Jun 30, 2025 10:26 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
Quality There used to be a way to add these to the TOM |
Author: | Paul Parsons [ Mon Jun 30, 2025 11:02 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
Like it Ash. I'm sure we can come up with a list of NH for you |
Author: | Anadin [ Mon Jun 30, 2025 2:42 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview |
Githyanki wrote: Quality There used to be a way to add these to the TOM The link is on TOM, select the Race card and at the bottom add preview, then copy paste, hit submit....... I assume it still works ?? Edit: Then again maybe not, I couldn’t get it to work ![]() Edit II: Tell a lie it does Ash...... away you go (Sorry for the garbage as a preview on R7, you cant delete once submitted doh!) |
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