Karoo StablesRace 1 -
Comtesse CarolineNeeds to set the pace or be up with it. May find it difficult to dominate in this field, however conditions are ideal and with numerous fancied horses with questions to answer
You Serious ( ground ),
Montbazon ( stable form ) and
My Murphy ( jumping ). The main dangers are probably
Hanks making his debut and
Sunny Lane who ran well in a bumper. Quietly confident of a good run though as Sanctions performed well in her first run and she is a better horse.
Race 2 -
SanctionsThe confidence from the Duke has made me think she has a strong chance. She is a brilliant jumper, strong traveller and the ground is almost ideal. See my write up for dangers.
Race 3 -
ConsistentIdeally needs an extra furlong but hoping for some black type. A bit to find with
Tequila Ridge,
Chilli And Masg and
Luck though and nothing suggests she can reverse the placings. This might be too far for
Rockslide and a bigger threat may come from the unraced
Blue Angel. She is very consistent though but a minor place is the best hope.
Race 4 -
DidgeridooPotential stable star and headed for the Rynair. This distance will be fine but there are a number of unraced horses in the field and
Rikard Eddard and
Noland bring strong form to the table. She needs to run well here though to have any chance in the Rynair.
Race 5 -
DothrakiReally confident about his chances of winning this. The drop in trip will be fine and he has a strong chance. See my write up for dangers.
Race 6 -
Wells FargoTrials really well and clearly found 3m1f too short on his first run. This distance will suit much better and there is nothing between him and
Tyrion Lannister on their last run. There are a number of well bred new comers though in
Cage Fighter,
Casual Transgression,
Cut The Crap,
Odonimess and
Velvet Touch. This race looks like it will be a good pointer for the gold cup and confident of a good run here.
Race 7 -
Puff AdderThe extra distance will suit but the ground is still on the quick side for her. Should run a better race but unlikely to trouble the principles. Ideally needs soft or worse ground.
Modern Soul may well go in again here.
Race 9 -
Special TradeDid not jump well on debut which is uncharacteristic and should put that behind him and improve here. If he jumps better he will be thereabouts. Nothing really stands out amongst the raced horses and the winner may well come from the unraced trio of
California Swag,
Dean Forest and
Nothing But The Truth. I fancy
Nothing But The Truth to win here.
Race 10 -
Secret Symbol Better than his sire Dothraki and will be a huge threat in these optimum conditions.
Annaghbeg Oath,
Upside and
Warrior are interesting newcomers. On a line through my other hurdlers I should have the beating of most of the raced horses. Confident of a good run and will more than likely be world hurdle bound if he lives up to expectations.
Race 11 -
Further AttacksAlthough she gets the trip better she is better over shorter. There too many unknowns to make a prediction in this race. Not expecting her to set the world alight.
Race 12 -
AquilaUploaded with this distance in mind. These are almost optimum conditions and with Manifest running well I am confident of a good run. One of my best and these are almost perfect conditions. See write up for dangers.
Race 13 -
GunmanThis will be too short. Won't run badly but ideally needs it further and will be aimed at some of the nationals. But in all honesty he just is not that good and will struggle to win a race this season. Really struggled to improve my horses over 4miles plus. There are number of trainers with runners who are strong over this distance but if
Silver Pond does not win I'm sure Hemz will be disappointed.
Castletown Lyrics,
Flames And Stars and
Zoo York bring solid form to the race. However I'm hoping sentimental favourite
Moores Minion wins here and goes on to great things. It will be a fitting tribute to Paul.
Race 15 -
OvertureA place is the best hope as she needs it further. I can't really see
Let Love Shine getting beaten here despite the credentials of
Prospect World who is the only real danger.
Race 16 -
Famous DuelBelieve it or not but this is too short. Will run on and probably just miss the places and the target with him is the grand national where the fences and distances are ideal. The winner is likely to come from the unraced horses and I fancy one of
Viking Groove,
Rose Pompadour ,
Kinglet and
Kina. The ground should be too slow for
New DesignRace 18 -
Conversation PieceA fact finding mission for the stable. He trials well over the gold cup distance but he is a monster over 3m3f and 3m4f and even more so on soft or heavy ground. If he runs well here then he will be gold cup bound. If not I will be kicking myself for not uploading Bridgeburner. See my write up for dangers.
Race 19 -
PrequelI don't think my 2 mile hurdlers or up to scratch and therefore she will more than likely be midfield. There is a lot of solid form here from
Backdraft,
Big Freeze and
Nomakhanjani and a host of potential improvers including the likes of
Boombastic ,
Golanbrook and
Sundance. The race is best watched as it will be a good pointer for the season.
Race 21 -
WalkawayThis is my best horse and he is a 3 mile monster. This shorter distance holds no fears and with ground conditions ok I'm expecting brilliant things. I won a grade 1 over 3 miles last season and she is much better. Trounces all my 3 mile horses on a regularly basis and they seem to have all run ok. Its difficult to find a danger in this field as it looks like a mine field with regards to picking a winner but
Theon Sansa and
Dazzling Dream look the chief dangers.
Race 22 -
Rumours Outsider here and unlikely to feature.
Chosen One makes her debut and hails from the champion trainers yard and both
Excelebration and
Looking At You have solid form. A race to avoid for betting purposes as there are too many inknown variables. You can lay mine for a place though
Race 23 -
Bring To LifeThe distance may find her out. She is a handicapper and hoping to pick up one along the way. Needs a smaller field though as she needs to dominate. Although John Scatters isn't the same force in NH as on the flat
Event Horizon should be good enough to win this although
Uprising could be a danger.
Race 24 -
Dollar MagicBetter than Manifest and can handle a slow pace. Probably one of the best in my stable and although this is a competitive race I will be disappointed if he does not go close.
Grands Crus,
Smoothie and
Vindication all ran well on debut but a bigger danger may well be
Ciao Luigi though. A big field suits Dollar Magic well though and he is a good each way bet.
Race 26 -
Witchcraft Did not set the world alight on debut but tends to throw in the odd stinker. Runs both Dothraki and Conversation Piece close in trials and this versatile mare should make her presence felt here.
Artisan Harbour,
Biohazard and
Parthenian Krissi have the best form on offer but it does not really inspire confidence in there chances.
Afef John is a dangerous newcomer but stables runners tend to need their first run. Witchcraft could win here and she will be a good price.
Race 7 -
PrestigiousReally like her and although indications are she prefers firm wins all my trial on soft. Expecting a big run. Dangerous are numerous including
Gold Rush,
Last Monarch,
Attitude Ask and
Al Veloren but she is a good each way bet.