Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas - Race Preview
Season 17 | Group 1 | 1m | Fillies | Good to Soft Ground | £100,000

Race Overview
The Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas is a prestigious Group 1 contest for 3-year-old fillies over 1 mile at Curragh. This season's renewal has attracted a competitive field of 12 runners, with several having shown promising form in their recent outings.

The Main Contenders

CELESTIAL - TOP RATED
Trainer: Joshua Sutherland | Rating: 117 | Silks: Red/Black
• Form Analysis: Trainer notes suggest she's in excellent form but may not appreciate the softer ground conditions
• Key Point: Highest-rated runner in the field
• Verdict: Class act but ground concerns make her vulnerable

POWDERKEG
Trainer: David Robertson | Rating: 115 | Silks: Blue/White
• Form Analysis: Prominent early in the Qipco 1,000 Guineas, led inside final furlong before being driven out
• Recent Performance: Showed good battling qualities when challenged
• Verdict: Strong each-way claims based on Guineas form

ISLAND DANCE
Trainer: Jim Murray | Rating: 112 | Silks: Black
• Form Analysis: Broke well but lost place early in recent Group 1 company
• Trainer's Comment: "Poor race in UK Guineas, hoping for better here"
• Verdict: Capable of bouncing back on home soil

SENSATIONAL OTTO
Trainer: Vinny Gerrard | Rating: 110 | Silks: Green
• Form Analysis: Settled early, stayed on well in midfield finish
• Trainer's Comment: "Close in the English Guineas, expecting a decent showing again"
• Verdict: Consistent performer with each-way appeal

VENEDA EVE
Trainer: Darren Thompson | Rating: 107 | Silks: Red
• Form Analysis: Started slowly but showed good pace when getting going
• Recent Form: Outpaced in closing stages but kept on
• Verdict: Needs to improve on recent Guineas effort

NORTH CAROLINA
Trainer: Dan Hughes | Rating: 100 | Silks: Blue
• Form Analysis: Raced mid-division, stayed on same pace throughout
• Recent Performance: Showed some promise without threatening
• Verdict: Outsider with place claims at best

The Outsiders

LATANAZUL DARING (AJ Munas | 98) - Settled early, soon weakened in recent Group 1 contest

RED ADDITION (Paul Parsons | 90) - Slowly away, recovered to show prominent form. Ground preference may be against her

COZELIA BALLET (Derek Hinton | 89) - Restrained early, stayed on at one pace

MAMA MIA (Jaei Bermenstein | 89) - Front rank early, outpaced and lost ground

NORTH JORDAN (Darren Thompson | 87) - Steadied early, never competitive in recent run

PROTECTORATE MAISON (AJ Munas | 77) - Steadied early, faded when challenged

Key Trends & Insights

Ground Conditions
• Current going: Good to Soft
• Several runners have shown preference for firmer conditions
• Red Addition specifically noted as preferring "Firmish" ground

Recent Form
• Most runners competed in either the Qipco 1,000 Guineas or other Group 1 contests
• Powderkeg showed the best recent form with a strong finish in the Qipco
• Celestial remains unexposed on this ground despite high rating

Trainer Confidence
• Joshua Sutherland (Celestial) expressing ground concerns
• Vinny Gerrard (Sensational Otto) optimistic about chances
• Jim Murray (Island Dance) looking for improvement on home soil

Betting Verdict

WIN BET: POWDERKEG
Strong recent form in the Qipco 1,000 Guineas and proven at the trip. Handles the ground and has the tactical speed to be competitive.

EACH-WAY VALUE: SENSATIONAL OTTO
Consistent performer who ran well in the English Guineas. Trainer confidence is encouraging and the rating suggests she's capable of hitting the frame.

OUTSIDER: ISLAND DANCE
Jim Murray's filly disappointed in the UK but may find the Irish venue more to her liking. The trainer's comments suggest she's better than her last run.

Final Thoughts

This looks a competitive renewal with CELESTIAL the one to beat on paper, but ground concerns make her vulnerable. POWDERKEG appears the most reliable option having shown her form in similar company recently, while SENSATIONAL OTTO offers each-way value with trainer confidence behind her.

The race should be run at a good pace with several hold-up horses likely to finish strongly. The ground conditions will play a crucial role in determining the outcome.

Good luck with your selections!

bored yesterday, and didn't want to work, so i put a race through claude.ai to make a race preview for us. I'll do the Preakness too.

If people like it i'm happy to do a few each week. I'd need help with which NH race/s to do.

I didnt read over the preview that well, so don't shot the messager

ps it also loved changing the colours haha

Great read, love some previews.

if people like them, i'll set them up to be the same each week, and sort out the crazy colour style

Quality

There used to be a way to add these to the TOM

Like it Ash.

I'm sure we can come up with a list of NH for you

The link is on TOM, select the Race card and at the bottom add preview, then copy paste, hit submit....... I assume it still works ??


Edit: Then again maybe not, I couldn’t get it to work

Edit II: Tell a lie it does Ash...... away you go

(Sorry for the garbage as a preview on R7, you cant delete once submitted doh!)