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jockeyryan321
Handicapper
Joined: Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:44 am Posts: 195 Location: Ireland
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Race Opinions for my horse
Wells guys,
just need a little help here,
So my horse VIEW LIZZIE ran a really surpising race yesterday finishing 3rd
there is no 1m easy enough races for her, so if you watch the race she kinda fell back and then started to pick up again and then got a bit tired close to the line,
so should i drop her down?
or just chance my arm and but her in the Sandown 2YO Mile
_________________ __________ Ryan
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Thu May 21, 2020 1:25 am |
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NPG319
Group 1 winner
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2014 4:39 am Posts: 2497 Location: South Australia
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
Stick to a mile and look for mile races rated no higher than 0-80. She may get another furlong in a low rated race or she may go close in a 7f race but once again, look for something around 0-70.
Target all your horses for lower rated hcps for the rest of the season and if you like have a nibble with the Aussie G1 Hcps that are coming up. And double up all your horses in lower rated hcps as well. If you do this I am sure you'll find a winner and some exciting finishes.
Doug.
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Thu May 21, 2020 8:20 am |
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pnf123
Selling plater
Joined: Wed Jan 15, 2020 1:36 pm Posts: 32
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
I would personally target race 16. Don't run in the sandown mile you won't win it and are in danger of ruining the horses mark for future handicaps.
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Thu May 21, 2020 1:52 pm |
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Kevcon
Group 1 winner
Joined: Fri Feb 05, 2010 8:36 pm Posts: 1147
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
I agree with a lot of what Doug says and would advise sticking to low grade handicaps no higher than 0-80, preferably lower. As for next week treat it as a freebie as there are no suitable races over what looks like her best distance. Give the Sandown Mile a miss and have a look at race 16 instead, this is a 9f 0-75 handicap and will help you find out if she stays further than 1m.
As for G1 handicaps, avoid like the plague unless your horse is rated at least 85, preferably 90+ otherwise it's going to be miles out of the handicap (off its current rating about 30 lbs possibly more)
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Thu May 21, 2020 2:00 pm |
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NPG319
Group 1 winner
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2014 4:39 am Posts: 2497 Location: South Australia
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
Race 16 sounds like your best bet.
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Thu May 21, 2020 2:11 pm |
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jockeyryan321
Handicapper
Joined: Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:44 am Posts: 195 Location: Ireland
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
Cheers lads
ill stick her in race 16
_________________ __________ Ryan
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Thu May 21, 2020 7:15 pm |
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jockeyryan321
Handicapper
Joined: Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:44 am Posts: 195 Location: Ireland
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
Well lads,
im back for more opinions for next week!!
for View Lizzie,
She ran an awful race last time over 1 mile, next week has not much races for her that she has a chance in,
the only one that i see that she has a chance in is the Race 10 -- Bray Nursery
what you guys think?
cheers ryan
_________________ __________ Ryan
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Thu Jun 04, 2020 1:37 am |
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pnf123
Selling plater
Joined: Wed Jan 15, 2020 1:36 pm Posts: 32
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
Your horse will be well out in the weights in a 0-100 i would personally look at race 38 over 10f being as your horse won over 9f.
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Thu Jun 04, 2020 2:23 am |
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NPG319
Group 1 winner
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2014 4:39 am Posts: 2497 Location: South Australia
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
jockeyryan321 wrote: Well lads,
im back for more opinions for next week!!
for View Lizzie,
She ran an awful race last time over 1 mile, next week has not much races for her that she has a chance in,
the only one that i see that she has a chance in is the Race 10 -- Bray Nursery
what you guys think?
cheers ryan I didn't think that was a bad run over a mile.
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Thu Jun 04, 2020 6:45 am |
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jockeyryan321
Handicapper
Joined: Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:44 am Posts: 195 Location: Ireland
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
I don’t think there’s any handicaps over a mile that will suit her next week?
what do you think?
_________________ __________ Ryan
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Thu Jun 04, 2020 7:08 am |
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NPG319
Group 1 winner
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2014 4:39 am Posts: 2497 Location: South Australia
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
I dropped her by 2 points. Try race 38 next week as has been pointed out.
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Thu Jun 04, 2020 9:57 am |
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jockeyryan321
Handicapper
Joined: Sun Apr 05, 2020 4:44 am Posts: 195 Location: Ireland
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Re: Race Opinions for my horse
grand
_________________ __________ Ryan
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Thu Jun 04, 2020 10:12 am |
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